Өнгөрсөн долоо хоногт Монгол улсын нийгэм, эдийн засгийн өнөөгийн байдал, цаашдын төлөв, хөгжил дэвшилд онцгой ач холбогдол бүхий Монголын Эдийн Засгийн Чуулган болон уг чуулганы нэг хэсэг болох Хөрөнгө Оруулалтын Чуулган 2011 амжилттай зохион байгуулагдан өнгөрлөө. Хоёр дахь удаагаа зохион байгуулагдаж буй уг чуулганд онцлох сэдэв, салбар тус бүрээр төр, хувийн хэвшил, иргэний нийгэм, эрдэмтэн судлаачид болон олон улсын байгууллагууд хамтдаа суун гурван өдрийн турш хэлэлцүүлэг, хуралдаан өрнүүллээ.
Эдийн Засгийн Бодлого, Өрсөлдөх Чадварын Судалгааны Төв уг чуулганд бодлогын
хүрээнд хамтран зохион байгуулагчийн зүгээс оролцсон бөгөөд төвийн захирал
Ч.Отгочулуу “Хөгжлийн бодлого: Өрсөлдөх Чадварын Хэмжүүр, Кластер Инноваци” салбар
хуралдааны зохион байгуулагч, панелистаар оролцлоо.
Мөн
түүнчлэн уг чуулган эдийн засаг, нийгмийн мэдээ мэдээллээр дагнан нийтэл,
нэвтрүүлэг бэлтгэдэг дотоодын болон дэлхийн тэргүүлэх хэвлэл мэдээллийн
байгууллагуудын анхааралд байж, тухайн байгууллагууд зочид төлөөлөгчид уг арга
хэмжээнд өндөр ач холбогдол өгөн хүрэлцэн ирж оролцсон нь чуулганы ач
холбогдол, чансааг илтгэж буй хэрэг юм. Чуулганы талаар гадны хэвлэл мэдээллийн
хэрэгслүүд хэрхэн бичиж буй талаар доор тоймлон орууллаа.
- Mongolia to Raise $500 Million in First Dollar Bond Sale –
To “set benchmark” and “open window” for private companies, but such plans have
been made and dumped before
- Governance Key in Unlocking Mongolia’s Massive Wealth –
Mongolian Economic Forum speaks
- Mongolia's Challenges: Inflation, Currency Flows – Containing
inflation remains key challenge
- Ivanhoe sees "substantial" silver at Oyu Tolgoi –
plans to produce 3 million ounces/year of silver as spot silver
hits 31-year record at $34.96/ounce
- Mongolia Concerned ‘Hot Money’ Heats Economy, Javkhlan Says - 180
billion tugrik ($140 million) spent last year to stabilize the exchange rate
- Bond-ing in Mongolia - “Mongolia is the only
game in town” but bonds would only “probably” take place this year
- Noble Group Seeks More Mongolia Coal Deals to Add to Rising Energy Profit - Hong
Kong-based supplier of energy locks on to Mongolia
- Ulaanbaatar
Metro to be ready by 2017 - South Korean consortium
selected to build metro in UB, 40 stations, to begin construction 2013
- Japanese group
to help set up steel plant – Kobe Steel
Group of Japan to build a steel plant in Darkhan
- Batbold
identifies priorities in development strategy – “Together
in Development” MEF roundup
- Businessmen
oppose rise in stamp fees – Businessmen appeal to
parliament to amend 2010 law that increased stamp prices 60 times
- MCS cannot
import methanol for its coal gas production – MCS coal to
gas plant project falters
- Mongolia Assures it is a New Player in World’s Energy Industry –
“Coal Mongolia” Forum last week tackles Erdenes TT questions
- Gerege of the Mongol – TT shares issue explained
and expanded, how Mongolia will spread the wealth
- Nobody In Mongola Can Improve On The Current Criminal Law, Says Minister - Minister
of Law and Internal Affairs Ts.Nyamdorj refuses to improve Law, rejecting
claims that “it will put all Mongolians in jail”.
- General Mining Corporation tells ASX potash may be behind 33% share spike –
GMM puts Mongolian potash project behind price jump
- Ten Things We’ve Learned about Mongolian Democracy (and China) –
A look at the lessons of the MEF compared to China
Mongolia to Raise $500 Million in First Dollar Bond Sale
Bloomberg
Mongolia is planning its first sale of sovereign bonds, seeking some $500
million, to help companies from the resource-rich nation located between China
and Russia raise funds from credit markets.
“We’re looking at an issuance of inaugural sovereign bonds in order to set up a
benchmark and open up a window for private companies to go and raise money,”
Vice Minister of Finance, Ganhuyag Chuluun Hutagt, said yesterday in an
interview in Ulan Bator. The sale will “probably” take place this year, pending
parliament’s approval.
The bond sale would mark a turnaround from 2010 when Mongolia scaled back and
then dumped plans to borrow $1.2 billion abroad to survive the global economic
slump. The plans have been revived as gains in the tugrik trim returns from
rising copper and coal prices, Mongolia’s biggest exports, and the nation faces
a 10 percent budget deficit.
Read more here
Governance Key in Unlocking Mongolia’s Massive Wealth
2point6billion
Governance was the main theme at the Mongolian Economic Forum being held in
Ulaan Baatar, as the country begins to come to terms with its newfound status
as a major global player in critical resources.
The country, which only overthrew the heavily Soviet-influenced Mongolian
People’s Republic in 1990, became a democracy soon afterwards and has sometimes
struggled with the transition from decades of mismanagement to its new status
as a resource rich state sandwiched between two superpowers – China and Russia.
Yet as an increasing volume of massive mineral reserves – ranging from massive
oil, coal and iron ore deposits to the world’s largest copper, rare earths and
uranium reserves – the country is undergoing a transition that could either be
a great success story or lead it to the alternative national path, trodden by
other nations, of its natural wealth becoming a curse.
Read more here
Mongolia's Challenges: Inflation, Currency Flows
WSJ
Mongolia—Surging inflation and interest in trading the nation's currency, the
togrog, are key challenges facing the Bank of Mongolia, a top central banker
said Thursday.
The economic costs of inflation—"our biggest enemy"—are well
understood by the central bank, said Deputy Gov. N. Zoljargal.
In an interview after speaking on a panel here, he said a primary central-bank
mission is to manage confidence in the currency. As the profile of the togrog
rises with traders, he said, the policy is "don't fight the trend,"
but ensure it happens smoothly.
The togrog was among the world's strongest currencies in 2010, gaining as the
economy rebounded from the global financial crisis and amid expectations copper
and coal mining will sustain the trend.
Speaking at the same conference, Mongolia President Ts. Elbegdorj said the
government's job is to ensure the mine sector creates an economic foundation,
including creating employment. He said the government is considering new mining
regulations, but wasn't specific.
Read more here
Ivanhoe sees "substantial" silver at Oyu Tolgoi
Reuters
Oyu Tolgoi to produce 3 million ounces/year of silver, spot silver hits 31-year
record at $34.96/ounce
Ivanhoe Mines (IVN.TO) said on
Thursday that it would produce 3 million ounces of silver a year at its Oyu
Tolgoi copper and gold project in southern Mongolia.
Ivanhoe said Oyu Tolgoi would produce 78 million ounces of silver over its
27-year mine life.
Spot silver prices hit a 31-year high on Wednesday at $34.96 an ounce, as
precious metal prices rose on uncertainty over the Libyan conflict.
"The buoyant global silver market has fueled the interests of investors
and has prompted us to more widely circulate the projections for silver
production," said Ivanhoe Chief Executive Robert Friedland.
"Oyu Tolgoi will rank as a very substantial silver producer when
commercial production begins in 2013."
Ivanhoe said that annual production at Oyu Tolgoi will be 1.2 billion pounds of
copper, 650,000 ounces of gold and 3 million ounces of silver. The mine will
also produce molybdenum, a metal that is used to harden steel.
Comparatively, Pan American Silver (PAA.TO)
produces 5 million ounces of silver a year at its Alamo Dorado mine in Mexico,
while Coeur D'Alene (CDE.N) produces 9 million ounces of silver at its
Palmarejo mine, also in Mexico, each year.
Initial production is expected at Oyu Tolgoi in late 2012.
Read here
Mongolia Concerned ‘Hot Money’ Heats Economy, Javkhlan Says
Bloomberg
Mongolia is concerned about the destabilizing effect of “hot money” inflows on
the economy as it begins to develop large coal and copper mines, said Bold
Javkhlan, the first deputy governor of the central bank.
The country spent an equivalent 180 billion tugrik ($140 million) last year to
stabilize the exchange rate and will keep the policy this year as expected
commodity price gains and the start of operations at new mines pressure the
currency, Javkhlan told a forum in Ulan Bator, Mongolia’s capital. About 40
percent of money inflows into Mongolia are short-term, he said.
“One issue I’d like you all to be concerned with is hot money,” Javkhlan said.
“The real exchange rate has quite a gap with the nominal. The more this grows,
the more speculative money will come in.”
Read more here
Bond-ing in Mongolia
Beyondbrics
As one Hong Kong banker told beyondbrics recently, “Mongolia is the only game
in town”. And soon, gung-ho investors may get a new way to play it. The
resource-rich country, forecast by one bank to be the world’s fastest-growing
emerging market in coming years, wants to raise $500m in its first dollar bond
sale.
This is not the first time it’s floated the idea. But it’s the first time it
has the attention of so many bankers and investors.
Ganhuyag Chuluun Hutagt, Mongolia’s vice minister of finance, told Bloomberg:
“We’re looking at an issuance of inaugural sovereign bonds in order to set up a
benchmark and open up a window for private companies to go and raise money.”
Mongolia could also use the money for much-needed investment in infrastructure.
The sale would “probably” take place this year, pending approval from
parliament, Hutagt said. But the idea still sounds tentative and should be
treated as such. Last year Mongolia dropped a more ambitious plan for a $1.2bn
bond sale.
The foundation of Mongolia’s appeal is its vast untapped resources of coal,
copper and gold. They help explain why Mongolian equities were the world’s best
performing last year, gaining 140 per cent in dollar terms.
Read more here
Noble Group Seeks More Mongolia Coal Deals to Add to Rising
Energy Profit
Bloomberg
Noble Group Ltd, the Hong Kong-based supplier of energy, food and mining
commodities, sees Mongolia as its next opportunity to expand in coal and build
on its record 2010 profits.
“We have staff looking at several opportunities” in Mongolia, especially in
exploration companies, Chief Executive Officer Ricardo Leiman said on a
conference call yesterday. “Mongolia will be an area specifically for quarter
two. We look at developing a similar model there to what we have in Indonesia
and Australia.”
Noble won exclusive overseas marketing rights for PT Berau Coal, Indonesia’s
No. 5 producer, in November, adding to its Australian assets, which include
Gloucester Coal Ltd. The Berau deal will “contribute nicely” to 2011 earnings,
Leiman said after his company posted record annual net income of $606 million
from $57 billion in sales.
Read more here
Ulaanbaatar Metro to be ready by 2017
News.mn
Su Song and Seoul Metro Consortium of South Korea has been selected to build an
underground railway in Ulaanbaatar. The railway will have two main lines. One,
from the western part of Ulaanbaatar to Amgalan, will cover 28.3 km, and the
other, from the 17th secondary school to Buyant-Ukhaa, will be 21.3 km long.
Initially 3 or 4 trains will run along the track that would be over the ground
in suburban areas. A total of 40 stations would be built, at a distance of
between 800 meters and 1 km between one another. Tickets would be priced
similar to bus tickets.
Construction is likely to begin in 2013 and completed by 2017.
Read here
Japanese group to help set up steel plant
News.mn
The Ministry of Mineral Resources and Energy today signed a memorandum of
understanding with Kobe Steel Group of Japan to build a steel plant using iron
ore to be processed in the Darkhan Ferrous Metals Factory using a new
technology. The Chief of the Mining and Heavy Industry Section at the Ministry,
B.Batkhuu, and the General Manager of the Japanese Group, Naoto Susuki, signed
the memorandum.
The Ministry wants the proposed plant to export value added products and to
reduce the export of iron ore. The Japanese group will transfer technology that
is exclusively used by it.
Read here
Batbold identifies priorities in development strategy
News.mn
Inaugurating the Mongolia Economic Forum yesterday morning, Prime
Minister S.Batbold expressed happiness that this opportunity to discuss
development policy issues was becoming an annual feature and hoped the forum
would continue to encourage open debate among scholars, politicians,
businessmen and civil representatives on all aspects of development.
The theme last year was “We can do it together” and among the issues discussed
were the Capital Market, Competition, Reform of the State Registration, Reform
of Budget, Mining and Green Economy. The resultant business environment reforms
helped Mongolia rank 99th among 117 countries in competitiveness and 100th among
169 countries in the Human Development Index.
This year’s forum has the theme “Together to Development” and has four priority
areas for discussion: Development Policy, Human Development, Infrastructure,
and Governance. Altogether 15 panel meetings will cover various areas of these
four basic concerns.
Human welfare is the ultimate goal of development and Mongolia’s economic
growth should improve citizens’ life. We should pay attention to the following
four areas, he said.
First, we should improve governance. This can be done by putting in place the
right mechanism, by a proper division of power and by a clear demarcation of
political parties’ rights and responsibilities. Citizens’ participation has to
be encouraged.
Second, we should adopt the right development strategy. We must have a
long-term vision.
Third, the emphasis will be on developing our human resources. For this, we
need provide better education, giving wide access to knowledge and skills.
Fourth, we should pay attention to infrastructure development because mining,
tourism, small and middle enterprises and regional development depend on
infrastructure.
Read here
Businessmen oppose rise in stamp fees
News.mn
Businessmen some time ago requested Parliament to amend the law it passed in
2010 that raised stamp duties by as much as 60 times, from MNT165,000 to MNT10
million and 250,000. The Parliament Office advised them to approach the
Ministry of Finance which had initiated the law. In its turn, the Ministry of
Finance has asked businessmen to submit their request to the Ministry of
Justice.
Businessmen are surprised that no power wielding state organization takes
responsibility for considering a request for something of such vital interest.
They feel anything that hurts production is against economic development and
that good results can be achieved only if right laws are passed.
Judging from the experience of 2010, declared as the year for business
environment reform, when there was no change in the taxation policy and little
real reform, the private sector is not very optimistic about what will be
achieved in 2011. This has been declared as the year of employment but many
citizens could lose their job because the rise in stamp fees threatens the
survival of about 8,000 economic entities. Also, 1,700 workers in mining
companies could find themselves redundant if the Law banning mining exploration
and exploitation near rivers and forests is enforced.
The National Statistics Office reports GDP has increased by 65% between 2002
and 2010, but there has been no corresponding increase in employment, even
though the number of working age people has gone up.
Read here
MCS cannot import methanol for its coal gas production
News.mn
MCS Holding has begun work on setting up a plant to produce coal gas for
heating. Its study of possible alternatives to raw coal concluded that coal gas
would be the most appropriate and cost-effective choice. The company will
implement the project with cooperation from the Government and the City Mayor’s
Office.
The problem now is that an essential component in producing coal gas is
Methanol but import of technical spirits is prohibited under present laws. The
company hopes Parliament will remove the ban to help reduce air pollution.
Read here
Mongolia Assures it is a New Player in World’s Energy Industry
UB Post
“Coal Mongolia 2011”, the big international coal event to promote Mongolia’s
coal industry concluded last Friday in Ulaanbaatar, reassuring that Mongolia is
a new player of world’s energy industry.
More than four hundred foreign and domestic delegates attended the event of two
days. The attention of the international investors to the conference was
focused on the second day of the event as it held discussion on coal investment
projects and production.
Besides, a presentation of Tavan Tolgoi, the world’s largest untapped coking
coal deposit, was presented by B.Enebish, CEO of state-owned Erdenes MGL” LLC
incorporated to represent state interest in strategic and state funded deposits
and acting CEO of Erdene Tavantolgoi Ltd.
The second day was a kind of long-awaited as Hunnu Coal Ltd that managed to
trade its shares at the Australian Stock Exchange, held a presentation of its
project. Separate presentation of two untapped coking coal deposits of Khushuut
and Ovoot was also held that day.
International investors have been more interested about to what extend the
Mongolian government gives importance to these coal projects.
Especially, they have been concerned about who is more likely to win open
bidding for contract miner that will conduct mining operations in eastern
Tsankhi Area of Tavan Tolgoi Mine, on a contract basis.
“A short list of companies that sent tender documents will be available next
week” said Enebish.
The world’s monetary flow directing towards Mongolia is targeting the country’s
coal industry, stressed local mining experts who attended the event.
On the sidelines of the event, a local newspaper interviewed Battsengel Gotov,
CEO of Energy Resources LLC, about a to-be-open coal washing plant.
“We transport [the coal] by aggregate-paved road. As demanded by the
Environment Ministry, we decided to build asphalt road until rail line is
available and started our road construction project in May 2009. At present,
70% of the work is completed. We plan to complete it in July 2011.”
Read here
Gerege of the Mongol
UB Post
The time has come for us to find the most rational and efficient way to possess
underground resource of Tavan Tolgoi deposit and benefit from its fruits from
generation to generation.
The country’s future, social stability and order as well national security will
depend on how we deal with such a new intellectual challenge. The Government of
Mongolia decided to sell 10% of Erdenes TT to domestic professional investors
and give 10% free to its people, 30% to international investors and own
remained 50%. So far, it selected Deutsche Bank (Germany) and Goldman Sachs
(the U.S.A) as underwriter for IPO and BNP Paribas (France) and Macquarie Bank
(Australia) to involve in the sales and brokerage activities.
Read more here
Nobody In Mongola Can Improve On The Current Criminal Law, Says
Minister
Mongolia-Web
Minister of Law and Internal Affairs Ts.Nyamdorj has explained his recent
summary rejection of any need to amend the criminal law. His blunt opposition
was mainly responsible for the decision of the Standing Committee on Justice
not to proceed with consideration of draft amendments proposed by 12 members of
Parliament, led by Mr. Sh.Saikhansambuu (MPRP).
Mr. Nyamdorj says the last amendment to the law, initiated by himself, among
others, assures both citizens and the police of adequate protection and needs
no tinkering with. He has recalled how he sought and received advice from local
lawyers and foreign legal experts, particularly through the German organization
GTZ, at that time. The merit of the measure, he says, is borne out by how all
criticism and concern that “it will put all Mongolians in jail” have been shown
to be unfounded. Mr. Saikhansambuu, however, asserted that many judges had told
him they found several provisions of the current law to be too harsh and
strict, and not in keeping with modern humane principles. The MP also pointed
to the rising number of convictions on minor offences, that brands people, many
of them young, as “criminals” and gives them no opportunity to reform
themselves.
Mr.Nyamdorj has said there is nobody in the country who can suggest any actual
improvement in the present criminal law. He called the draft “a document prepared
by a hired brain and then signed by 12 MPs”. There is “no one in Mongolia who
is knowledgeable and experienced enough to improve on what we did in 1998 and
again in 2002”, he said.
Read here
China coal market tends to be slightly oversupplied, coal
authority
Istockanalyst
China's coal market tends to be slightly oversupplied as power coal consumption
has been decreasing along with warming weather, according to January report on
coal industry operation released by Shanxi coal industry office Tuesday.
The report predicted that domestic coal prices are expected to drop with
falling trade on the market.
Data from the office show that north China's Shanxi Province, the country's
second largest coal producer after Inner Mongolia, produced 58.17 million
metric tons (tonnes) of raw coal in January, a jump of 5.77 million tonnes or
11.02 percent year on year. It transported 43.57 million tonnes out of the
province, down 2.84 million tonnes or 6.12 percent from the same period of last
year.
The office noted that as weather is getting warmer, electricity demand will
shrink and in the meantime power coal consumption will slow down, adding that
coal market may enter off season in the following period.
As major power plants' coal consumption is dropping, their stocking demand will
also be suppressed.
Read more here
General Mining Corporation tells ASX potash may be behind 33%
share spike
Proactive Investors
General Mining Corporation (ASX: GMM) received a price and volume speeding
ticket yesterday after the company's shares spiked 33% to an intra-day high of
$0.18, from $0.135 on Wednesday 2 March.
The company said there is no material information that has not been released to
the market which may explain the sudden investor interest.
But what is driving the share price is the potash drilling General Mining is
undertaking in Mongolia, with potash the new 'rare earths' with companies
involved in this hard to find resource currently getting a massive market
re-pricing.
General Mining has a potash project in Mongolia, which comprises five granted
exploration licences covering more than 2000 square kilometres within the Uvs
Nuur Basin, prospective for bedded and domal potash deposits, as well as for
lithium and potassium brines.
Even with Mongolia being a relatively undeveloped country in terms of
infrastructure, the country borders the resource hungry China.
To provide an insight into the re-rating of potash companies recently, Fortis
Mining (ASX: FMJ) this week hit $3.98, compared to just $0.21 three months ago,
with South Boulder Mines last week trading to $6.25, up from $0.26 just one
year ago.
Read here
Ten Things We’ve Learned about Mongolian Democracy (and China)
China Briefing
Attending the Mongolian Economic Forum this week has in part been an
interesting case study in two contrasting and competing systems of government.
While Ulaan Baatar, the capital of Mongolia, lies closer to Beijing than
Shanghai does, it employs a democratic system as opposed to the one-party
state. That system itself has only been in operation for 20 years, about the
same time as China has risen to become a world trading giant. In such close
proximity to each other, the differing political contrasts are quite apparent.
So what have we learned this week about Mongolian democracy as compared to
China’s one-party state?
· Revolutionary leaders rise to
the top
· Democracy is a pain
· Government officials are
there to be harangued
· Democracy as a safety valve
· People like their freedoms
· Democracy, by its nature, is
subversive
· Differing political systems
have ceased being barriers to trade
· Democratic politicians are
more fun
· You tend to get more
transparency in democracies
· Media freedom doesn’t mean a
responsible media
Read more here